Why Prediction Markets Got the Brazilian Election So Wrong
Experts say Brazil's prediction market ban left the odds in the hands of traders with little knowledge about the election.
Older stories · all sources
Experts say Brazil's prediction market ban left the odds in the hands of traders with little knowledge about the election.
Elon Musk says SpaceX closed a $40 billion chip deal with Apollo while lenders shut the door on smaller AI cloud firms, a split that could decide who controls computing.
A confirmed exploit let rogue servers replace Electrum’s pending transactions, tricking users into redirecting Bitcoin to attacker addresses.
The Mumbai-based exchange says 15.99 million USDT was drained from wallets it retired after last year’s $44 million hack, bringing its combined losses to nearly $60 million—and it’s absorbing the hit.
The iShares Brazil ETF fell as much as 26% after Lula da Silva beat Flávio Bolsonaro, who prediction markets had at 80%, while the dollar jumped as much as 12% against the real.
The firm added 10,452 ETH to reach 4.95% of supply, but its bigger move was repurchasing 2.04 million of its own shares—part of what it calls the largest equity buyback any crypto treasury company has run.
AI-powered reverse engineering could make it "easier and faster" for researchers to uncover and explain how devices collect and share data.
The S-1 shows revenue up from $1.2 billion a year earlier, and a share structure that leaves a trust and the co-founders in control.
The Bitcoin treasury firm's USD Cash balance fell to $242.4 million after its biggest weekly STRC buyback in more than a month.
Analysts point to a sell-off in AI stocks and ETF outflows, with HashKey's Tim Sun flagging $75,000 as the next key support level.
Galaxy Research says Bitcoin’s bear market ended in June, pointing to a reclaimed 50-week moving average, fading selling pressure, and a strengthening debasement case.
Some relief is appearing this morning as oil and rates fall, with a big macro week ahead featuring major earnings, FOMC and key data drops.